I expected to discuss all sorts of things with political scientists in Chicago just recently, but I¡¯ll be honest: When it came to current politics, people were mostly talking about the 2024 presidential nominations ¡ª especially the Republican one.
And folks I spoke with were split right down the middle: About half thought that former President Donald Trump would be the Republican nominee, and half threw up their hands and said they had no idea what would happen.
I¡¯m in that second group.The argument that Trump has the nomination locked up is pretty straightforward. No, we don¡¯t know for sure that he¡¯ll be running in 2024, but he certainly is running for 2024 right now. That is, he¡¯s doing all the things that candidates for president do ¡ª holding rallies, campaigning, raising money and, in his own fashion, putting together a policy platform. Sure, the platform begins and ends with complaining that people are unfair to Donald Trump, but that¡¯s pretty much all he did as president anyway.
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