Japan has got what it takes to emerge a winner from the global 2020 great lockdown recession. In fact, there is growing evidence that the resilience and persistence practiced during Japan¡¯s ¡°lost decades¡± will now pay off and provide high returns ¡ª not just for investors, but also for society¡¯s future prosperity.

To start, let¡¯s follow the money. Japan¡¯s listed companies started this year with the biggest cash reserves ever recorded anywhere in recorded history. Collectively the companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange reported slightly more than $6.5 trillion of cash and short-term securities on their balance sheet at the end of 2019, as I aggregate the data. This is up from barely $3 trillion eight years ago and, compared to American companies, the cash ¡°war chest¡± is almost twice as large.

Also, Japan¡¯s cash reserves are broadly spread out across all sectors, while America¡¯s are highly concentrated, with about one third of U.S. corporate cash reserves lorded over by the few well-known tech oligopolies. Japan Inc. has ample firepower to invest in future growth. But will it?