WASHINGTON ¨C It seems that every time I write about Donald Trump¡¯s presidency, I pronounce it to be in more trouble than ever. This time is no different: He and his presidency are indeed in more trouble than ever. And yet that may not prevent him from winning again in 2020.

I used to think Trump might not even finish his first term, much less get a second. Now I¡¯m agnostic. For one thing, the U.S. Justice Department¡¯s questionable view that a sitting president can¡¯t be indicted is an inducement to fight to stay in office. Logic would suggest that Trump can¡¯t make it through a re-election fight: His base, an estimated 35 percent to 38 percent of voters, is too small and he¡¯s done next to nothing to expand it. And while he has governed for the base, he¡¯s failed to fulfill many of his promises. But logic isn¡¯t a trademark of the Trump presidency.

Much of Trump¡¯s base is quite satisfied that he¡¯s named two very conservative justices to the Supreme Court, that he¡¯s rolled back regulations on various industries, and that businesses and the wealthy got their tax cut. But business tycoons and the wealthy don¡¯t attend his rallies and cheer his every utterance. Those who do tend to be middle- and lower-middle class voters, to whom he has delivered little other than the satisfaction of yelling at mentions of Democrats and chanting ¡ª still ¡ª ¡°Lock her up!¡± even though their target, Trump¡¯s 2016 opponent Hillary Clinton, has said that she won¡¯t run again in 2020.