China¡¯s abrupt lifting of stringent COVID-19 restrictions could result in an explosion of cases and over a million deaths through 2023, according to new projections from the U.S.-based Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME).

According to the group¡¯s projections, cases in China would peak around April 1, when deaths would reach 322,000. About a third of China¡¯s population will have been infected by then, IHME Director Christopher Murray said.

China¡¯s national health authority has not reported any official COVID deaths since the lifting of COVID restrictions. The last official deaths were reported on Dec. 3.