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July 24, 2026
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Shuli Ren
COMMENTARY
/
World
Jun 7, 2026
A trillion-dollar question for memory chipmakers
We are only in the second year of the AI boom, making it too early to know if it will outlast past cycles.
COMMENTARY
/
Japan
May 8, 2026
OpenAI is so yesterday ¡ª even for SoftBank
Liquidity is as important as paper gains. There are already signs that capital markets are souring on Son¡¯s biggest bet.
COMMENTARY
/
Japan
Apr 23, 2026
SoftBank is going all in on OpenAI, but at what cost?
SoftBank Group¡¯s founder Masayoshi Son invested in OpenAI despite potential exposure to a liquidity crunch.
COMMENTARY
/
World
Mar 6, 2026
Why the 51³Ô¹ÏÍø morphed into panic selling in Asia
The selloff may have come as somewhat of a surprise for investors. North Asia is known for its dependence on oil and natural gas imports.
COMMENTARY
/
World
Jan 2, 2026
Repeat after me: Never, ever underestimate China.
Some 47% of the world¡¯s top 20th percentile AI researchers finished their undergraduate studies in China, well above the 18% share from the U.S.
COMMENTARY
/
Japan
Oct 26, 2025
SoftBank¡¯s OpenAI ambition is far too grand for banks
On a stand-alone basis, as of the end of June, the company held more than twice as many bonds as bank loans.
COMMENTARY
Aug 28, 2025
China gets closer to finding its own Nvidia
Cambricon has become a stock market darling, precisely because investors recognize China has a good chance to take market share in inference chips.
COMMENTARY
/
World
May 19, 2025
China¡¯s defense industry is getting a DeepSeek moment
Investors are reassessing Beijing¡¯s military capacity and potential to rise as an arms exporter.
COMMENTARY
/
World
May 13, 2025
Trump and Xi tone down a senseless trade war
It was a huge relief for small businesses and millions of workers on both sides of the Pacific.
COMMENTARY
/
Japan
Apr 16, 2025
When will China start to devalue the yuan?
One way to think about China¡¯s currency policy is its fiscal stance. Unless Beijing brings out the stimulus bazooka, devaluing the yuan might be the most expedient option.
COMMENTARY
/
World
Apr 11, 2025
Why buy the dollar if the U.S. becomes an economic island?
The greenback¡¯s share of global reserves dropped to 58% last year from over 70% two decades ago, reflecting its declining dominance in international trade and finance.
COMMENTARY
/
World
Mar 19, 2025
How to make billions selling $1 lemonade
Behind Mixue¡¯s growth is an army of franchisees. The company barely manages any stores itself. Rather, almost all of its revenue came from selling store supplies.
COMMENTARY
/
World
Feb 5, 2025
China¡¯s Mr. Big Won¡¯t Cave in to Trump for Nothing
Does Xi Jinping have a trade war game plan? He¡¯ll need to make hard choices.
COMMENTARY
Jan 15, 2025
Hong Kong-dollar peg makes less sense than ever
It¡¯s increasingly clear that the currency regime, which inevitably ties the city¡¯s lending rates to those of the U.S., is outdated and needs a revamp.
COMMENTARY
/
Japan
Nov 21, 2024
No, China doesn¡¯t really have a debt crisis
Beijing is gun-shy about fiscal stimulus due to concerns more debt will build up. This thinking is muddled.
COMMENTARY
/
World
Sep 12, 2024
The Fed is making Hong Kong¡¯s billionaire landlords anxious
Many Hong Kong property companies have significant amounts of debt at floating interest rates tied to Hibor, which tracks the Fed¡¯s rate changes.
COMMENTARY
/
Japan
Sep 8, 2024
Big Luxury frets that China is turning Japanese
Wealthy Chinese shoppers are buying luxury goods in Japan to take advantage of favorable exchange rates, which is hurting European luxury brands¡¯ profitability.
COMMENTARY
/
World
Aug 21, 2024
Xi¡¯s supply-side panacea has lost its magic
China¡¯s excess capacity problem will have to fester until even its industry leaders call it quits. That may be some years away.
COMMENTARY
/
Japan
Aug 14, 2024
How big is the yen carry trade, really?
There is now worry that the unwinding of yen-funded carry trades would wreck investors¡¯ frothy exposures to U.S. technology and AI-related companies.
COMMENTARY
/
World
Jun 19, 2024
Stop comparing Hong Kong to Singapore
Think of it this way: Hong Kong is where the Chinese can grow their wealth while Singapore is where they can preserve it.
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